IRIS2 — ACTIVE NEGATIVE SIGNAL BEGINS.
As the brief logged it
European Space Forum opened today (June 30) in Brussels (runs June 30–July 1); EVP Virkkunen speaking. No IRIS2 Phase 1 go-ahead found in any source as of brief run time — no SES IR filing, no EC announcement, no SpaceRISE press release. Per priors doctrine: the protocol gate is July 2 Forum close. If no announcement by then, base case shifts from "approval imminent" to "SES negotiating exit terms." This is now the highest-priority monitoring item for today and tomorrow. Space Intel Report / Kratos framing (pre-June 29) said "compromises adopted, SES approval secured, looks ready to pass go-ahead" — Day 1 Forum silence does not yet falsify this, but 18h remain in the window. Manual scan of ses.com/news and @AdAlSaleh (SES CEO at Forum) is SES's most time-sensitive action today.
Provenance
Logged in the brief of 30 June 2026.
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